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Author Wells, Willard.
Title Apocalypse when? : calculating how long the human race will survive / Willard Wells.
Imprint Berlin ; New York : Springer ; Chichester, UK : Published in association with Praxis, 2009.

LOCATION CALL # STATUS MESSAGE
 OHIOLINK SPRINGER EBOOKS    ONLINE  
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LOCATION CALL # STATUS MESSAGE
 OHIOLINK SPRINGER EBOOKS    ONLINE  
View online
Author Wells, Willard.
Series Springer-Praxis books in popular science
Springer-Praxis books in popular science.
Subject Human ecology.
Human beings -- Effect of environment on.
Disaster victims -- Forecasting.
Probability measures.
Description 1 online resource (xxii, 212 pages) : illustrations.
Bibliography Note Includes bibliographical references (pages 205-208) and index.
Contents Title Page; Copyright Page; Table of contents; Preface; Acknowledgments; Figures; Pictures; Tables; Algebraic symbols; Abbreviations and acronym; About the author; Introduction; 1 Formulation; 2 Confirmation; 3 Double jeopardy; 4 Human survivability; 5 Apocalypse how?; Appendix A Survival formula derived from hazard rates; Appendix B Posterior survivalitity; Appendix C Infinite mean duration; Appendix D Survival predictor from Bayes' theory; Appendix E Stage productions running on specified dates; Appendix F Extinction rates of prehistoric taxa; Appendix G Disaggregated mortality.
Summary Relies on intuitive probability formulations that are suitable for readers with a modest knowledge of astronomy, mathematics, and statistics. This book explains and gives examples of the conditions under which the author's principle is valid and provides evidence that can counteract the arguments of critics who would reject it entirely.
Note Print version record.
ISBN 9780387098371
0387098372
9780387098364 (pbk.)
0387098364 (pbk.)
OCLC # 591313079
Additional Format Print version: Wells, Willard. Apocalypse when? Berlin ; New York : Springer ; Chichester, UK : Published in association with Praxis, 2009 9780387098364 (DLC) 2008942384 (OCoLC)277068336


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