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LEADER 00000cam  2200541Ii 4500 
001    591313079 
003    OCoLC 
005    20181101051504.4 
006    m     o  d         
007    cr ||||||||||| 
008    100401s2009    gw a    ob    001 0 eng d 
019    613219969|a647912804|a767184580|a769047308|a1005744736 
020    9780387098371 
020    0387098372 
020    |z9780387098364|q(pbk.) 
020    |z0387098364|q(pbk.) 
035    (OCoLC)591313079|z(OCoLC)613219969|z(OCoLC)647912804
       |z(OCoLC)767184580|z(OCoLC)769047308|z(OCoLC)1005744736 
037    978-0-387-09836-4|bSpringer|nhttp://www.springerlink.com 
040    CUS|beng|epn|erda|cCUS|dGW5XE|dEBLCP|dYDXCP|dOCLCQ|dMHW
       |dOCLCQ|dBEDGE|dOCLCQ|dE7B|dCOO|dOCLCQ|dJG0|dESU|dOCLCQ
       |dVT2|dOCLCO|dOCLCF|dOCLCO|dCEF|dU3W 
049    MAIN 
050  4 GF51|b.W45 2009 
070 0  GF51|b.W45 2009 
082 04 304.2|222 
100 1  Wells, Willard.|0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/
       no2011001216 
245 10 Apocalypse when? :|bcalculating how long the human race 
       will survive /|cWillard Wells. 
264  1 Berlin ;|aNew York :|bSpringer ;|aChichester, UK :
       |bPublished in association with Praxis,|c2009. 
300    1 online resource (xxii, 212 pages) :|billustrations. 
336    text|btxt|2rdacontent 
337    computer|bc|2rdamedia 
338    online resource|bcr|2rdacarrier 
490 1  Springer-Praxis books in popular science 
504    Includes bibliographical references (pages 205-208) and 
       index. 
505 0  Title Page; Copyright Page; Table of contents; Preface; 
       Acknowledgments; Figures; Pictures; Tables; Algebraic 
       symbols; Abbreviations and acronym; About the author; 
       Introduction; 1 Formulation; 2 Confirmation; 3 Double 
       jeopardy; 4 Human survivability; 5 Apocalypse how?; 
       Appendix A Survival formula derived from hazard rates; 
       Appendix B Posterior survivalitity; Appendix C Infinite 
       mean duration; Appendix D Survival predictor from Bayes' 
       theory; Appendix E Stage productions running on specified 
       dates; Appendix F Extinction rates of prehistoric taxa; 
       Appendix G Disaggregated mortality. 
520    Relies on intuitive probability formulations that are 
       suitable for readers with a modest knowledge of astronomy,
       mathematics, and statistics. This book explains and gives 
       examples of the conditions under which the author's 
       principle is valid and provides evidence that can 
       counteract the arguments of critics who would reject it 
       entirely. 
588 0  Print version record. 
650  0 Human ecology.|0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/
       sh85062856 
650  0 Human beings|xEffect of environment on.|0http://id.loc.gov
       /authorities/subjects/sh85080298 
650  0 Disaster victims|0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/
       sh86002460|xForecasting.|0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/
       subjects/sh00005779 
650  0 Probability measures.|0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/
       subjects/sh92001869 
655  4 Electronic books. 
776 08 |iPrint version:|aWells, Willard.|tApocalypse when?
       |dBerlin ; New York : Springer ; Chichester, UK : 
       Published in association with Praxis, 2009|z9780387098364
       |w(DLC)  2008942384|w(OCoLC)277068336 
830  0 Springer-Praxis books in popular science.|0http://
       id.loc.gov/authorities/names/no2008186020 
912    .b15494378JOHNC 
990    SpringerLink|bSpringer English/International eBooks 2009 -
       Full Set|c2018-10-31|yNew collection 
       springerlink.ebooks2009|5OH1 
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