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LEADER 00000cam  2200973Ii 4500 
001    800083422 
003    OCoLC 
005    20181102031001.8 
006    m     o  d         
007    cr cnu---unuuu 
008    120717s2012    dcu     ob   i000 0 eng d 
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049    MAIN 
050  4 HG3881.5.I58|bW67 No. 12/175eb 
072  7 BUS|x027000|2bisacsh 
082 04 332.152|223 
100 1  Evans, Martin D. D.,|0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/
       n87894287|eauthor. 
245 10 International capital flows and debt dynamics /|cprepared 
       by Martin D.D. Evans. 
264  1 [Washington, D.C.] :|bInternational Monetary Fund,|c[2012]
264  4 |c©2012 
300    1 online resource (59 pages). 
336    text|btxt|2rdacontent 
337    computer|bc|2rdamedia 
338    online resource|bcr|2rdacarrier 
340    |gpolychrome|2rdacc|0http://rdaregistry.info/termList/
       RDAColourContent/1003 
347    text file|2rdaft|0http://rdaregistry.info/termList/
       fileType/1002 
490 1  IMF working paper ;|vWP/12/175 
500    Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed Jul. 17, 
       2012). 
500    "Research." 
500    "July 2012." 
504    Includes bibliographical references. 
505 0  Cover; Contents; 1 Introduction; 2 International Assets, 
       Liabilities, Returns and Trade Flows; 2.1 The Balance of 
       Payments and Consolidated Budget Constraint; 2.2 Trade 
       Flows, Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice; List of 
       Figures; 1 Alternative Measures of the U.S. External 
       Position; 3 A Model of Capital Flow Dynamics; 3.1 
       Approximating the Consolidated Budget Constraint; 3.2 Net 
       Positions and Capital Flows; 3.3 Gross Positions and 
       Capital Flows; 3.4 Equilibrium Positions and Capital 
       Flows; 4 Data and Estimation; 4.1 Data; 4.2 Adjusting 
       Trade Flows. 
505 8  2 Trends In U.S. Foreign Assets, Liabilities and Real 
       Trade Flows4.3 Sample Statistics; 3 Approximation 
       Accuracy; List of Tables; 1 Summary Statistics; 2 Returns 
       and Portfolio Shares; 4.4 Estimation; 4 Changes in the 
       Composition of Asset and Liability Portfolios; 3 Granger 
       Causality Tests; 5 Results; 5.1 Net Position Dynamics; 5 
       Historical Behavior of the U.S. Net External Position and 
       its Components; 4 Variance Decompositions of xp[sub(t)]; 
       5.2 Gross Position Dynamics; 6 Historical Behavior of U.S.
       Gross Foreign Asset and Liability Positions and their 
       Components. 
505 8  12 Composition Effects and the size of the Valuation 
       Channel6.2 The Role of the Dollar; 7 Returns and the 
       Dollar Depreciation Rates; 13 The U.S. Net External 
       Position and the Role of the Dollar; 7 Conclusion. 
520    This paper presents a new model for studying international
       capital flows and debt dynamics that emphasizes the role 
       played by expectations concerning future trade flows and 
       returns. I use the model to estimate the drivers of the 
       U.S. external position and capital flows between 1973 and 
       2008. The estimates show that most of the secular rise in 
       U.S. international indebtedness is attributable to growing
       optimism about future returns on U.S. holdings of foreign 
       equity and FDI assets. They also show that the 
       transformation of world savings into risky assets by the 
       U.S. had little effect on its external position, but the 
       expected future real depreciation of the dollar allowed 
       the U.S. to sustain a higher level of international debt 
       after the 1990s. 
650  0 Capital movements|0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/
       sh85019946|xEconometric models.|0http://id.loc.gov/
       authorities/subjects/sh99005483 
650  0 Capital movements|0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/
       sh85019946|zUnited States|0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/
       names/n78095330|xEconometric models.|0http://id.loc.gov/
       authorities/subjects/sh99005483 
650  0 Debts, External|0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/
       sh85036140|xEconometric models.|0http://id.loc.gov/
       authorities/subjects/sh99005483 
650  0 Debts, External|zUnited States|0http://id.loc.gov/
       authorities/subjects/sh2009122956|xEconometric models.
       |0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh99005483 
655  4 Electronic books. 
710 2  International Monetary Fund.|bResearch Department.|0http:/
       /id.loc.gov/authorities/names/n77001219 
830  0 IMF working paper ;|0http://id.loc.gov/authorities/names/
       no89010263|vWP/12/175. 
956 40 |uhttp://proxy.opal-libraries.org/login?url=http://
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